rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1
Larissa Mallinson (Lib )/ Gary Anderson (Nat)
Throsby (7.8) Provincial
38.0
24.9
13.1
0.5
42.2
4.2
2
Ron Delezio (LP)
Watson (6.8) Inner Metro
38.7
25.8
13.0
0.4
43.2
1.6
3
Ray King (LP)
McMahon (5.3) Outer Metro
40.6
28.4
12.2
-0.4
44.7
1.9
4
David Coleman (LP)
Banks (1.8) [ch13]Inner Metro
47.0
34.9
12.1
-0.5
51.8
3.4
5
Barnaby Joyce (NP) vacant seat
New England (14.5) [ch13]Rural
54.2
38.9
15.3
-0.8
0.0
NA
6
Michael Feneley (LP) vacant seat
Kingsford Smith (2.7) Inner Metro
43.5
31.7
11.8
-0.8
47.3
2.0
7
John Church (LP)
Shortland (7.2) Provincial
37.8
26.0
11.8
-0.8
42.8
5.8
8
Craig Laundy (LP)
Reid (0.9) [ch13]Inner Metro
47.1
35.4
11.7
-0.9
50.9
3.1
9
Nickolas Varvaris (LP) vacant seat
Barton (0.3) [ch13]Inner Metro
42.4
30.7
11.6
-1.0
50.3
6.8
10
Martin Zaiter (LP)
Parramatta (0.6) Inner Metro
44.3
33.0
11.3
-1.3
49.4
3.6
11
Kent Johns (LP)
Werriwa (2.2) Outer Metro
39.7
28.4
11.3
-1.3
47.8
4.0
12
Jaimie Abbott (LP) vacant seat
Newcastle (8.8) Provincial
34.7
23.3
11.3
-1.3
41.2
3.1
13
Angus Taylor (LP) vacant seat
Hume (11.5) Rural
54.0
39.3
14.7
-1.4
61.5
2.6
14
Ann Sudmalis (LP) vacant seat
Gilmore (2.7) Rural
46.0
31.6
14.4
-1.7
52.7
-2.8
15
Philip Clifford (LP)
Cunningham (9.9) Provincial
33.7
22.8
10.9
-1.7
40.1
2.9
16
Fiona Scott (LP)
Lindsay (3.0) [ch13]Outer Metro
46.6
36.1
10.6
-2.0
53.0
4.1
17
Isabelle White (LP)
Chifley (10.6) Outer Metro
32.2
22.3
9.9
-2.7
39.5
1.3
18
Peter Hendy (LP)
Eden-Monaro (0.6) [ch13]Rural
45.3
32.1
13.2
-2.9
50.6
4.7
19
Karen McNamara (LP) vacant seat
Dobell (0.7) [ch13]Provincial
41.4
31.9
9.5
-3.1
50.7
5.5
20
David Gillespie (NP) vacant seat
Lyne (14.8) [ch13]Rural
53.2
40.8
12.4
-3.7
64.8
2.6
21
Andrew Nguyen (LP)
Fowler (16.8) Outer Metro
26.8
17.9
8.9
-3.7
33.2
-9.3
22
Kevin Hogan (NP)
Page (2.5) [ch13]Rural
46.7
34.3
12.3
-3.8
52.5
6.9
23
Anthony Khouri (LP)
Blaxland (11.4) Inner Metro
32.7
23.9
8.8
-3.8
38.6
-0.2
24
Jaymes Diaz (LP)
Greenway (3.0) Outer Metro
40.0
31.4
8.7
-3.9
47.0
-2.9
25
Kevin Baker (LP) vacant seat
Charlton (9.2) Provincial
28.5
20.6
8.0
-4.6
40.8
3.2
26
Sean O'Connor (LP)
Sydney (14.7) Inner Metro
30.5
22.8
7.7
-4.9
35.4
1.7
27
Lucy Wicks (LP)
Robertson (3.0) [ch13]Provincial
43.4
36.2
7.2
-5.4
53.0
3.5
28
Michael Johnsen (NP)
Hunter (3.7) Rural
35.1
24.8
10.3
-5.8
46.3
8.7
29
Cedric Spencer (LP)
Grayndler (20.3) Inner Metro
24.7
19.0
5.7
-6.9
29.7
-0.3
30
Matthew Fraser (NP)
Richmond (3.0) Rural
37.6
30.1
7.5
-8.6
47.0
4.0
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party).
Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries.
AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan.
Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition.
[ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.
