Electorates by cumulative swings 93 to 2007 swing (prelim figures)           Return to Mumble home

 

These are the addition of 1996, 1998, 2001,2004 and 2007 swings to Labor. Seats that have had independents, like Wills, Kalgoorlie, Calare, New England and Kennedy, have wonky swings and so can probably be ignored.

Table has 

Seat (state) new margin, AEC category (r = Rural; p = Provincial; o = Outer metro; I = Inner metro; see here and here), cumulative swing 1993-2007 to Labor, [2007 swing to Labor]

Click any seat for Antony's page, including results.

1 Hughes (NSW) 2.2 o -10.5[6.3]
2 Kalgoorlie (WA) 2.5 r -9.8[3.8]
3 Macarthur (NSW) 0.7 o -7.7[10.4]
4 Calare (NSW) 11.9 r -7.1[-1.9]
5 Greenway (NSW) 4.6 o -6.8[6.8]
6 Parkes (NSW) 13.0 r -6.4[5.8]
7 Blaxland (NSW) 18.3 i -5.4[3.1]
8 Robertson (NSW) 0.1 p -5.3[7.0]
9 Gilmore (NSW) 4.1 r -5.3[5.3]
10 Mallee (Vic) 21.3 r -5.3[3.5]
11 Lindsay (NSW) 6.8 o -5.0[9.7]
12 Fraser (ACT) 15.1 i -4.6[1.8]
13 Riverina (NSW) 16.2 r -4.2[4.6]
14 Paterson (NSW) 1.5 r -4.1[4.6]
15 Charlton (NSW) 12.9 p -4.1[4.5]
16 Bowman (Qld) 0.1 o -3.9[8.8]
17 Cook (NSW) 6.7 i -3.9[6.6]
18 Lyne (NSW) 8.5 r -3.7[4.9]
19 Herbert (Qld) 0.2 p -3.6[6.0]
20 Dobell (NSW) 3.9 p -3.6[8.7]
21 Fadden (Qld) 9.8 o -3.5[6.1]
22 Franklin (Tas) 4.5 o -2.9[-3.1]
23 Flinders (Vic) 8.3 r -2.8[2.8]
24 Hume (NSW) 4.2 r -2.8[8.6]
25 Oxley (Qld) 14.2 o -2.7[7.1]
26 Aston (Vic) 5.1 o -2.6[8.1]
27 Scullin (Vic) 20.9 o -2.6[6.1]
28 Gellibrand (Vic) 21.7 i -2.5[6.7]
29 Sydney (NSW) 19.4 i -2.3[2.2]
30 Stirling (WA) 1.3 i -2.2[0.7]
31 Canberra (ACT) 11.5 i -2.2[1.6]
32 Dunkley (Vic) 4.2 o -2.1[5.2]
33 Shortland (NSW) 14.9 p -2.0[5.7]
34 Prospect (NSW) 13.5 o -2.0[7.1]
35 Canning (WA) 5.7 o -2.0[3.8]
36 Casey (Vic) 6.1 o -1.8[5.3]
37 Banks (NSW) 11.0 i -1.7[7.8]
38 Grey (SA) 4.4 r -1.7[9.4]
39 Macquarie (NSW) 7.0 o -1.7[6.5]
40 Reid (NSW) 16.9 i -1.7[4.9]
41 Wide Bay (Qld) 8.6 r -1.7[3.6]
42 Maribyrnong (Vic) 15.4 o -1.5[5.9]
43 Chifley (NSW) 20.6 o -1.5[8.6]
44 Melbourne (Vic) 22.4 i -1.2[1.3]
45 Maranoa (Qld) 14.4 r -1.0[6.6]
46 Wentworth (NSW) 3.0 i -1.0[-0.5]
47 Moncrieff (Qld) 14.3 p -0.9[5.2]		 48 McPherson (Qld) 9.0 p -0.8[4.9]
49 Dickson (Qld) 0.1 o -0.8[8.8]
50 Fremantle (WA) 9.0 i -0.8[1.2]
51 Kingsford Smith (NSW) 13.2 i -0.7[4.7]
52 Mackellar (NSW) 12.5 o -0.3[3.0]
53 Swan (WA) 0.2 i -0.3[-0.3]
54 Isaacs (Vic) 7.6 o -0.1[6.1]
55 Lalor (Vic) 15.5 o 0.0[6.7]
56 Petrie (Qld) 2.0 o 0.1[9.4]
57 McMillan (Vic) 4.7 r 0.1[0.3]
58 Brand (WA) 5.6 p 0.1[0.9]
59 Corio (Vic) 8.9 p 0.2[3.3]
60 Eden-Monaro (NSW) 3.4 r 0.5[6.7]
61 Curtin (WA) 13.9 i 0.5[0.7]
62 Murray (Vic) 18.3 r 0.5[5.8]
63 Throsby (NSW) 23.5 p 0.7[9.7]
64 La Trobe (Vic) 0.5 o 0.8[5.3]
65 Bass (Tas) 1.0 p 0.9[3.6]
66 Pearce (WA) 9.3 p 1.0[3.6]
67 Moore (WA) 9.2 o 1.0[1.6]
68 Cunningham (NSW) 18.1 p 1.0[6.5]
69 Cowan (WA) 1.7 o 1.1[-2.5]
70 Denison (Tas) 15.6 i 1.1[2.3]
71 Wills (Vic) 22.7 i 1.3[5.8]
72 Werriwa (NSW) 15.2 o 1.3[8.3]
73 Hinkler (Qld) 1.7 r 1.4[6.5]
74 Warringah (NSW) 9.4 i 1.4[1.9]
75 Wannon (Vic) 7.5 r 1.6[4.9]
76 Batman (Vic) 25.9 i 1.6[4.6]
77 McEwen (Vic) 0.0 r 1.6[6.4]
78 Melbourne Ports (Vic) 7.5 i 1.7[3.8]
79 Deakin (Vic) 1.4 o 1.8[6.4]
80 Higgins (Vic) 7.4 i 1.9[1.4]
81 Cowper (NSW) 1.3 r 2.0[5.4]
82 Parramatta (NSW) 7.0 i 2.0[7.9]
83 Lilley (Qld) 8.6 i 2.2[3.2]
84 Moreton (Qld) 4.7 i 2.4[7.5]
85 Brisbane (Qld) 6.8 i 2.4[2.9]
86 Lowe (NSW) 7.4 i 2.4[4.4]
87 Barton (NSW) 12.2 i 2.6[4.6]
88 Farrer (NSW) 11.2 r 2.6[5.6]
89 Newcastle (NSW) 15.6 p 2.8[6.9]
90 Goldstein (Vic) 6.0 i 3.1[4.0]
91 Kingston (SA) 4.5 o 3.1[4.6]
92 Menzies (Vic) 6.0 o 3.2[4.7]		 93 Perth (WA) 9.1 i 3.4[2.4]
94 Leichhardt (Qld) 4.1 r 3.5[14.4]
95 Grayndler (NSW) 25.0 i 3.6[3.8]
96 O'Connor (WA) 16.5 r 3.6[3.9]
97 Fowler (NSW) 18.3 o 3.6[5.0]
98 Indi (Vic) 9.2 r 3.6[7.1]
99 Kooyong (Vic) 9.8 i 3.7[0.0]
100 Page (NSW) 2.3 r 3.7[7.8]
101 Makin (SA) 7.7 o 3.8[8.6]
102 Tangney (WA) 8.6 i 3.8[3.2]
103 Hotham (Vic) 13.2 o 4.1[5.8]
104 Bennelong (NSW) 1.3 i 4.1[5.5]
105 Braddon (Tas) 1.5 r 4.2[2.6]
106 Forde (Qld) 3.6 r 4.2[15.1]
107 North Sydney (NSW) 5.5 i 4.4[4.5]
108 Gippsland (Vic) 5.9 r 4.5[1.8]
109 Holt (Vic) 11.5 o 4.5[10.0]
110 Lyons (Tas) 8.8 r 4.5[5.1]
111 Forrest (WA) 5.8 r 4.7[4.7]
112 Bendigo (Vic) 6.2 p 4.8[5.2]
113 Calwell (Vic) 19.3 o 4.8[11.1]
114 Rankin (Qld) 11.7 o 4.9[8.7]
115 Mayo (SA) 7.1 r 4.9[6.5]
116 Richmond (NSW) 8.8 r 5.2[7.4]
117 Boothby (SA) 3.0 o 5.2[2.4]
118 Berowra (NSW) 9.0 o 5.2[4.9]
119 Sturt (SA) 1.1 i 5.2[5.7]
120 Fisher (Qld) 3.1 p 5.3[7.9]
121 Hunter (NSW) 16.1 r 5.7[5.0]
122 Watson (NSW) 20.4 i 5.7[5.9]
123 Hindmarsh (SA) 5.0 i 5.8[4.9]
124 Bruce (Vic) 8.3 o 5.8[4.8]
125 Groom (Qld) 8.1 p 5.9[10.7]
126 Griffith (Qld) 12.3 o 6.0[3.8]
127 Jagajaga (Vic) 9.0 o 6.1[4.6]
128 Mitchell (NSW) 11.6 o 6.2[9.1]
129 Bradfield (NSW) 13.8 i 6.3[3.6]
130 Port Adelaide (SA) 19.7 i 6.4[6.8]
131 Corangamite (Vic) 0.8 p 6.5[6.1]
132 Barker (SA) 9.5 r 7.3[10.4]
133 Wakefield (SA) 6.6 o 7.5[7.3]
134 Dawson (Qld) 3.2 r 7.7[13.2]
135 Ryan (Qld) 3.9 o 7.8[6.5]
136 Chisholm (Vic) 7.4 i 7.8[4.7]
137 Fairfax (Qld) 2.9 r 8.3[9.5]
138 Ballarat (Vic) 8.2 p 9.3[6.0]
139 Adelaide (SA) 8.5 i 10.5[7.2]
140 Capricornia (Qld) 12.8 p 12.6[9.1]

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