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Jim Mackintosh's prediction: increased Coalition majority
I'd like to also get in on this prediction business if I may. I concur
fully with Chris Woolley: a slightly increased majority for the
Coalition. In fact I have written this in Margo Kingston's SMH Webdiary
http://webdiary.smh.com.au/archives/margo_kingston/000279.html
Similar to Chris, although in no way as impressive, I managed to take second in
the same SMH tipping competition at the last election. On the Taverner Poll of
NSW marginals (03/10/04), I suggest that the data is not random nor independent.
This is because it tracked the voting intentions of the SAME group over several
weeks. So in my opinion that data is flawed and best simply ignored.
Cheers, Jim Mackintosh
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