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These are all rural seats with a margin under 10 percent. Blue ones are Coalition, red ones Labor.

Note the large number gained by Labor in 1999(t). These might go back to the Coalition.

Macedon, Narracan and Geelong are Labor held but now notionally Coalition.

Pundits see it as unlikely that Bracks will make gains in the bush; in fact Labor may go backwards.

U is for urbanised/provincial. These are better bets for the Labor government; of the blues, Geelong and Bellarine are most likely to be on the red side after November 30.

It is thought the government will have to make gains in Melbourne's east for the first time in 2 decades if it is to keep office.


See any howlers? Please let me know.

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